Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.001040 0.001184 0.001328 0.001482 0.001643 0.001806 0.001981
2025-12-14 0.000790 0.000995 0.001206 0.001440 0.001690 0.001946 0.002228
2025-12-21 0.000640 0.000891 0.001160 0.001464 0.001795 0.002139 0.002523
2025-12-28 0.000480 0.000759 0.001070 0.001431 0.001830 0.002253 0.002728
2026-01-04 0.000369 0.000671 0.001019 0.001433 0.001899 0.002396 0.002961
2026-01-11 0.000269 0.000581 0.000959 0.001418 0.001943 0.002510 0.003158
2026-01-18 0.000188 0.000504 0.000906 0.001407 0.001987 0.002620 0.003348
2026-01-25 0.000103 0.000403 0.000814 0.001343 0.001967 0.002655 0.003453
2026-02-01 0.000051 0.000336 0.000759 0.001318 0.001987 0.002732 0.003601
2026-02-08 0.000022 0.000291 0.000728 0.001320 0.002037 0.002840 0.003781
2026-02-15 0.000005 0.000258 0.000709 0.001334 0.002098 0.002959 0.003972
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000234 0.000701 0.001361 0.002173 0.003092 0.004177
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000180 0.000654 0.001351 0.002223 0.003218 0.004399
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000121 0.000591 0.001317 0.002243 0.003311 0.004586
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000094 0.000574 0.001344 0.002338 0.003491 0.004871
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000052 0.000518 0.001315 0.002362 0.003586 0.005061
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000029 0.000489 0.001318 0.002425 0.003727 0.005301
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000009 0.000449 0.001305 0.002465 0.003839 0.005507
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000414 0.001295 0.002507 0.003952 0.005713
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000349 0.001233 0.002481 0.003983 0.005822
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000310 0.001209 0.002500 0.004067 0.005992
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000290 0.001212 0.002554 0.004190 0.006205
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000276 0.001225 0.002621 0.004327 0.006435